AGI Might Be Coming Faster Than Your Organisation Can Change
- Piers Linney
- Jan 8
- 6 min read
Why This Becomes Zero-Sum Deployment Race

AGI (artificial general intelligence) is coming, AI that is better, cheaper and faster than humans at most cognitive tasks. Those who deploy it first will gain a zero-sum advantage, whether in politics, economics, war, or business. But deploying AI is not straightforward. Most organisations will need to fundamentally change how they operate.
Those that have already moved towards an AI-first operating model will be best placed to absorb and deploy AGI when it arrives. Those that have not will struggle, and catching up in an exponentially accelerating, AGI-powered world will be extremely difficult.
Two Clocks Are Running
One is capability. You can see it in public. Models are getting sharper, cheaper, faster, and will soon be able to ‘work’ for days, or even weeks.
The other is organisational readiness. That one is mostly invisible. It lives inside workflows, data permissions, governance, incentives, and whether your organisation can actually change how work gets done without breaking itself.
At Implement AI we work with organisations that understand the need to embrace AI and change the way they operate. But, most leaders are staring at the first clock and assuming the second one will somehow catch up. It won’t.
Your Runway Is Shorter Than You Think
The people closest to this, the CEOs funding it, building it, and competing to deploy it first, are no longer talking in decades. Whether you believe AGI arrives in five years, seven years, or closer to the end of the decade almost doesn’t matter anymore. It is now plausibly inside a single business planning cycle. And its arrival is unlikely to be a single moment; it will be a continuum, as capability steadily approaches AGI.
AGI will change everything.
Five years sounds like a long time. In reality, it isn’t. Most organisations need 12–24 months just to embed AI properly once you include the unglamorous work: redesigning workflows, changing operating rhythms, training people, instrumenting quality, putting controls in place, evals, and deciding who is accountable.
So even if you take a conservative view on timelines, your effective runway is much shorter than it looks. It may happen within one business planning cycle.
AI Is Not Software - Implementation Isn't An IT Project
The real mistake most companies are making is treating AI like software. Something you can buy, bolt on, roll out, install and move on from.
AI is not software. It is a new layer of production. AI agents are skilled, intelligent workers that need to be trained, onboarded, given access to data and tools, and configured to interact with humans-in-the-loop when necessary. The velocity, capacity and capability of AI agents can be orders of magnitude more than humans, and that requires processes to evolve to accommodate the power of AI.
It is like electricity. You don’t deploy electricity by giving everyone a lightbulb. You have to rewire the entire factory. That rewiring is where advantage is created, and where most organisations are nowhere near ready.
AGI will amplify advantage. Organisations that have already embedded AI into workflows, data access, governance, and evaluation will enjoy that advantage first. Everyone else will be trying to “install intelligence” into a business that wasn’t built to accept it.
The organisations that win won’t be the ones with access to the best model. Access will eventually spread. The winners will be the ones that can deploy intelligence quickly, safely, repeatedly, and at scale, because they have already redesigned workflows and have laid the tracks. Their competition will be trying to bolt intelligence onto systems and mindsets built for a slower world.
When people hear “AGI”, they tend to imagine a moment. A headline. A threshold. In practice, the shift will be quieter and more brutal. It will show up as widening gaps in decision velocity, iteration speed, and cost-to-execute. Those gaps compound. Then they harden into market structure.
Why AGI Will Generate Zero-Sum Impact
This is where AGI creates genuinely zero-sum dynamics. AI may be broadly positive-sum over the long arc, with abundance meaning that everyone eventually benefits at the level of civilisation.
But zoom in to where leadership decisions are actually made, across markets, institutions, and geopolitics, and the incentives change. In the crucible of competition, there will be winners and losers. New monopolistic players will emerge as they leverage AGI to out-think, out-execute, and ultimately out-compete everyone else.
Because intelligence deployed inside systems is leverage. And leverage will concentrate, perhaps rapidly, as the AGI-powered winners pull away from the pack.
How AGI Rewrites Competition
Economics
In economics, the cost curve of cognitive work collapses. Physical labour will follow as AGI invents even better robotics. The leading operators do not simply improve; they reset the market. They price below rivals, outspend them on expansion, acquire them early, and recruit the best people without trying. Decision cycles shorten, execution accelerates, quality jumps, and personalisation finally works at scale. The result is not a fairer market, but one where competition steadily loses its ability to matter.
Business Strategy
In business strategy, advantage comes from making better decisions under uncertainty, faster than everyone else. If one firm can simulate scenarios continuously, test assumptions daily, and adapt plans in real time while others are still running quarterly reviews, the outcome is not subtle.
AGI will not be static. It will learn from every decision and every outcome, creating a self-reinforcing loop where better decisions generate better data, which sharpens the system further. Over time, leaders race away. They stop competing on execution alone and start acquiring what really matters: data, IP, customer insight, and distribution.
This is how competition becomes structurally difficult. Not because rivals fail overnight, but because the gap compounds until catching up is no longer realistic. And it will impact all forms of competition.
Product Development
In product development, AGI changes what is even possible. It does not just accelerate iteration; it explores design spaces humans cannot comprehend. Products can be prototyped, tested, and refined continuously, with real-time feedback loops and thousands of parallel experiments. New materials, new architectures, and new forms of optimisation emerge, often without a human ever sketching the first idea.
Whether the product is physical or digital, AGI can design, test, and adapt in real time. Software is written, modified, and deployed on the fly. Manufacturing shifts towards additive, generative processes. The company that can run ten thousand experiments while you run fifty does not need to be smarter. It just needs to move. Iteration beats genius, and iteration at scale becomes a moat.
Politics
Politics follows the same logic. Strategy is built on understanding behaviour, incentives, and narrative. With AGI, messaging can be tested, refined, and redeployed continuously across millions of micro-audiences, with feedback loops that learn in real time. Policy positions, framing, timing, and coalition strategy stop being static decisions and become adaptive systems.
The advantage is not persuasion in a single moment, but perpetual optimisation. A party using AGI does not just communicate better; it understands the electorate more deeply and adapts faster than opponents can react. In that environment, the player with superior forecasting and recursive improvement does not just win campaigns. It shapes the political terrain on which choices are made.
War and Security
#War and security are no different. Intelligence, coordination, simulation, deception, logistics and cyber mean the strategic edge increasingly comes from anticipation and planning rather than brute force. Winning without fighting becomes more likely as asymmetry grows.
This is why usable AGI pushes competition towards zero-sum outcomes in practice. Not because the technology itself is malign, but because the incentives it creates are. You do not need runaway or uncontrollable systems for this to be destabilising. Uneven deployment is enough. A world where a small number of organisations or states can operate at a level others cannot match quickly becomes asymmetric.
And by the time that gap is visible to everyone, it is no longer tactical. It is structural.
Getting On With It
“Getting on with it” does not mean telling your team to use ChatGPT.
It means recognising that AI is an operating model shift, not a tool rollout, and that it is the path to leveraging intelligence as a productive force inside the organisation. Workflows need to be redesigned so AI sits inside the work, not beside it. Humans are in the loop by design, supervising, escalating, and handling edge cases, not acting as a safety net after the fact. Outcomes are measured in hard terms: time, cost, quality, and risk. Evaluation exists so change can be trusted, drift can be detected, and autonomy can be scaled responsibly. Accountability is explicit. When an AI agent acts, someone owns the outcome.
If you cannot do those things with today’s systems, you will not suddenly do them when something more powerful arrives. You will be the organisation trying to install intelligence into processes built for a slower world, with politics that resist change and controls that were never designed for autonomy. That is how companies lose, not because they were unaware, but because they were unable to move.
So here is the only question that matters.
If AGI is plausibly going to be available in a single business planning cycle, what are you doing now to make your organisation capable of absorbing it?
Because when usable AGI arrives, the gap will not close gradually. It will snap open and be difficult to close.
And you may not have the opportunity to get ready when it happens.
You will simply reveal whether you already were.
Thanks for reading.
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